Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 10:15 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Blake Adams

Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals · Pitcher

ERA 45.00 · WHIP 7.00 · K 0% · 1 starts

Mongoose Bets
BLAKE ADAMS
Over K@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
Blake Adams
BLAKE
ADAMS
Over K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS WSH LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
1
Terrible
projected lineup
VS
ERA
45.00
WHIP
7.00
K%
0%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%18%25%
SwStr%8.1%11%
Chase%23%28%
xwOBA-a.698.315
Barrel%-a43%8%
HardHit%-a57%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
0.0
K/GM
1.0
IP/GM
45.00
ERA
7.00
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
0% season K rate
Contact Suppression
43% barrel · 57% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 1 starts
0 of 1 starts over
Last 5: 45.00 ERA · 0% K
Season
Home
Last 5
vs WSH
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
+4%
2B
-3%
3B
-8%
K
-11%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
74°
Wind
4 68°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-17%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 10:16 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.