Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Blaze Alexander
Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
MG Score
62
C+
Tonight's Matchup
vs Connelly Early · LHP
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.10
K%
24%
Velo
89.1
Whiff%
19%
xwOBA-a
.387
Career vs Connelly Early: 2 PA · Low sample
AB
2
AVG
.000
OPS
.000
HR
0
H
0
K
0
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
89.2
Barrel%
11.1%
Hard Hit%
44%
Sweet Spot%
47%
xwOBA
0.450
xSLG
0.642
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
43%
13/30 games
AVG
.345
OBP
.387
SLG
.552
OPS
.939
HR
1
RBI
8
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Toronto Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Detroit Tigers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Detroit Tigers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Tampa Bay Rays | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/19 | Tampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Blaze Alexander
Baltimore Orioles · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
89.8 mph
Avg LA
8.9°
Hard-hit %
48%
Barrel %
11%
Outcomes (75 balls)
Home Run
0Triple
0Double
3Single
23Out
49Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.