Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
BLAZE JORDAN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BLAZE
JORDAN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Connor Prielipp · LHP
89.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
61
VS
ERA
6.57
WHIP
1.58
K%
25%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 98.0 | 86.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 11% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 33% |
| xwOBA | .417 | .376 |
| xSLG | .503 | .537 |
| Whiff% | 21% | 20% |
| Chase% | 47% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
98.0 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Prielipp—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
68°
Wind
13 305°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+17%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:05 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game