Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
BOBBY WITT
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BOBBY
WITT
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
68
Grade B-
Matchup
VS Jameson Taillon · RHP
86.8 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
76
VS
ERA
7.01
WHIP
1.58
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 89.6 | 89.5 |
| Barrel% | 19% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 47% | 38% |
| xwOBA | .397 | .360 |
| xSLG | .582 | .504 |
| Whiff% | 24% | 31% |
| Chase% | 33% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
89.6 avg EV · 18.6% barrel · 47% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Taillon1
Tonight's Park
HR
-15%
Hits
+5%
2B
+16%
3B
+76%
K
-12%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
96°
Wind
10 190°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:15 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game