Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Bobby Witt Jr.
Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds · in lineup
MG Score
72
B
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
95.1
Barrel%
21.8%
Hard Hit%
59%
Sweet Spot%
45%
xwOBA
0.489
xSLG
0.743
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
70%
7/10 games
Last 20
80%
16/20 games
Last 30
80%
24/30 games
AVG
.220
OBP
.238
SLG
.439
OPS
.677
HR
2
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Texas Rangers | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/30 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | New York Yankees | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | New York Yankees | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | New York Yankees | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Seattle Mariners | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/22 | Seattle Mariners | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Boston Red Sox | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Bobby Witt Jr.
Kansas City Royals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
93.7 mph
Avg LA
16.3°
Hard-hit %
53%
Barrel %
24%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
7Triple
1Double
10Single
22Out
60Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Advanced Statcast
Data Period: 5/22/2026 - 5/31/2026
Games: 9
Statcast Performance Profile
Advanced metrics from Statcast data (last 10 days)
Overall Grade
A-Performance Score
80Exit Velo
94.0 mph
Average exit velocity off the bat
Hard Hit%
55.2%
Percentage of balls hit 95+ mph
Chase%
32.0%
Percentage of swings at pitches outside the zone
xwOBA
0.518
Expected weighted on-base average
Sweet Spot%
55.2%
Percentage of balls hit at ideal launch angle
Performance Insights
Strengths: xwOBA, Sweet Spot%
Areas for Improvement: Chase%
How to Read This Chart
Excellent (75-100)
Good (60-74)
Average (45-59)
Below Average (0-44)
The larger the shape, the better the overall performance. Each point represents a different advanced metric.
Additional Metrics
Max Exit Velo
112.8 mph
Launch Angle
16.9°
xBA
0.423
xSLG
0.799
Batted Ball Profile
Ground Ball%
24.1%
Fly Ball%
44.8%
Line Drive%
31.0%
Pop Up%
N/A
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.