Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Brady Basso
Athletics · Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.26 · WHIP 1.29 · K 15% · 10 starts

BRADY BASSO
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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BRADY
BASSO
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam48%93 mph
Curveball16%78 mph
Slider16%83 mph
Sinker9%92 mph
Matchup
VS TOR LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.26
WHIP
1.29
K%
15%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 13% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 6.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 32% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .341 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 7% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 28% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.4
K/GM
2.1
IP/GM
2.61
ERA
1.35
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
15% season K rate
Contact Suppression
7% barrel · 28% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 2.61 ERA · 16% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs TOR—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
+3%
2B
+5%
3B
0%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
6 300°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 11:56 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
