Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Brady Singer
Cincinnati Reds · San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.20 · WHIP 1.27 · K 18% · 10 starts
BRADY SINGER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
BRADY
SINGER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker57%91 mph
Slider23%83 mph
Sweeper14%82 mph
Cutter6%88 mph
Matchup
VS SD LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
29
VS
ERA
4.20
WHIP
1.27
K%
18%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 20% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 9.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 27% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .382 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 12% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 47% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.2
K/GM
5.9
IP/GM
4.85
ERA
1.38
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
18% season K rate
Contact Suppression
12% barrel · 47% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 4.85 ERA · 16% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs SD—
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
91°
Wind
2 267°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+9%
K Adj
-5%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:39 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.