Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Brady Singer
Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies · Pitcher
ERA 4.03 · WHIP 1.34 · K 22% · 10 starts

BRADY SINGER
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line

BRADY
SINGER
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker50%91 mph
Slider22%82 mph
Sweeper17%82 mph
Cutter8%87 mph
Matchup
VS COL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
44
projected lineup
VS
ERA
4.03
WHIP
1.34
K%
22%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 30% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 29% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .394 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 16% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 40% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.8
K/GM
5.7
IP/GM
2.83
ERA
1.12
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
22% season K rate
Contact Suppression
16% barrel · 40% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 2.83 ERA · 24% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs COL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+16%
2B
+17%
3B
+103%
K
-8%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
93°
Wind
14 129°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 12:53 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
