Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Brandon Nimmo
Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals
MG Score
68
B-
Tonight's Matchup
vs Dustin May · RHP
ERA
3.77
WHIP
1.03
K%
23%
Velo
91.3
Whiff%
33%
xwOBA-a
.286
Career vs Dustin May: 7 PA · Low sample
AB
6
AVG
.333
OPS
.929
HR
0
H
2
K
3
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
93.0
Barrel%
25.7%
Hard Hit%
55%
Sweet Spot%
41%
xwOBA
0.489
xSLG
0.780
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
60%
6/10 games
Last 20
60%
12/20 games
Last 30
60%
12/20 games
AVG
.162
OBP
.225
SLG
.270
OPS
.495
HR
1
RBI
3
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/1 | St. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/31 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Kansas City Royals | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Kansas City Royals | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Houston Astros | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Houston Astros | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Houston Astros | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Houston Astros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Los Angeles Angels | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Los Angeles Angels | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Brandon Nimmo
Texas Rangers · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
93.0 mph
Avg LA
10.3°
Hard-hit %
52%
Barrel %
22%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
2Triple
1Double
5Single
20Out
72Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.

