BRANDON WILLIAMSON

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

BRANDON

WILLIAMSON

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Cutter43%91 mph

Changeup16%86 mph

4-Seam14%93 mph

Sweeper14%83 mph

Matchup

VS ATL LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

44

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

5.56

WHIP

1.53

K%

16%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	22%	25%
SwStr%	9.6%	11%
Chase%	23%	28%
xwOBA-a	.394	.315
Barrel%-a	13%	8%
HardHit%-a	42%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

3.2

K/GM

3.7

IP/GM

5.79

ERA

1.55

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

16% season K rate

Contact Suppression

13% barrel · 42% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 5.79 ERA · 19% K

3

4

3

2

3

4

5

4

2

1

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs ATL—

Tonight's Park

HR

+3%

Hits

+2%

2B

-4%

3B

0%

K

+7%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

78°

Wind

5 53°

Rain

26%

HR Adj

-12%

K Adj

-4%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:16 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.