Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Brandon Young
Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.71 · WHIP 1.41 · K 20% · 11 starts

BRANDON YOUNG
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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K
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BRANDON
YOUNG
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam41%94 mph
Slider17%85 mph
Splitter14%84 mph
Sinker14%94 mph
Curveball14%75 mph
Matchup
VS OAK LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.71
WHIP
1.41
K%
20%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 33% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .389 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 13% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 37% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.6
K/GM
5.4
IP/GM
3.67
ERA
1.52
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
20% season K rate
Contact Suppression
13% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 3.67 ERA · 15% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs OAK—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
+3%
2B
+5%
3B
0%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
4 244°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+8%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:39 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
