Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Braydon Fisher
Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics · Pitcher
ERA 1.08 · WHIP 1.32 · K 32% · 10 starts

BRAYDON FISHER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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BRAYDON
FISHER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Slider45%87 mph
Curveball31%81 mph
4-Seam24%94 mph
Matchup
VS OAK LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
67
projected lineup
VS
ERA
1.08
WHIP
1.32
K%
32%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 32% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 14.1% | 11% |
| Chase% | 28% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .355 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 12% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 42% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.4
K/GM
0.9
IP/GM
0.00
ERA
1.15
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
32% season K rate
Contact Suppression
12% barrel · 42% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 41% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs OAK—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
+3%
2B
+5%
3B
0%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
83°
Wind
7 335°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:03 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
