Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Brendan Beck
New York Yankees · Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees · Pitcher
ERA 8.22 · WHIP 1.57 · K 15% · 3 starts

BRENDAN BECK
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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BRENDAN
BECK
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Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS BAL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
2
projected lineup
VS
ERA
8.22
WHIP
1.57
K%
15%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 0% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 0.0% | 11% |
| Chase% | 0% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .452 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 0% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 100% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.7
K/GM
2.6
IP/GM
8.22
ERA
1.57
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
15% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 100% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 3 starts
0 of 3 starts over
Last 5: 8.22 ERA · 15% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs BAL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+25%
Hits
-6%
2B
-8%
3B
-52%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
—
Wind
—
Rain
—
HR Adj
—
K Adj
—
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 10:12 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.