Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Brent Suter
Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins · Pitcher
ERA 1.83 · WHIP 1.17 · K 20% · 10 starts

BRENT SUTER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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K
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H
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BRENT
SUTER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker41%90 mph
4-Seam28%89 mph
Changeup23%78 mph
Matchup
VS MIA LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
92
projected lineup
VS
ERA
1.83
WHIP
1.17
K%
20%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 26% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.9% | 11% |
| Chase% | 34% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .288 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 6% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 26% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
1.4
K/GM
1.7
IP/GM
1.08
ERA
0.84
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
20% season K rate
Contact Suppression
6% barrel · 26% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 1.08 ERA · 22% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs MIA—
Tonight's Park
HR
-7%
Hits
+5%
2B
+8%
3B
+6%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:17 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.