Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
BRENTON DOYLE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BRENTON
DOYLE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
35
Grade F
Matchup
VS Luinder Avila · RHP
92.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
19
VS
ERA
4.89
WHIP
1.46
K%
20%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 97.5 | 84.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 100% | 20% |
| xwOBA | .294 | .331 |
| xSLG | .354 | .443 |
| Whiff% | 33% | 19% |
| Chase% | 0% | 22% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
97.5 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 100% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Avila—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+16%
2B
+17%
3B
+103%
K
-8%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
94°
Wind
5 293°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+25%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:43 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game