Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Mongoose Bets
BRETT BATEMAN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Brett Bateman
BRETT
BATEMAN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
41
Grade D
Exit Velo84.1Barrel%3%Hard Hit%23%xwOBA.353Sweet Spot%36%Whiff%14%Chase%26%
Matchup
VS Chris Bassitt · RHP
86.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
35
Bad
VS
ERA
4.00
WHIP
1.43
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo84.188.8
Barrel%3%14%
Hard Hit%23%41%
xwOBA.353.368
xSLG.455.523
Whiff%14%21%
Chase%26%27%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
84.1 avg EV · 2.7% barrel · 23% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  — AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bassitt0
Tonight's Park
HR
-2%
Hits
+3%
2B
-5%
3B
+32%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
59°
Wind
11 54°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
-15%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:58 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game