Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
BREWER HICKLEN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BREWER
HICKLEN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Cal Quantrill · RHP
90.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
74
VS
ERA
3.60
WHIP
1.08
K%
13%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 96.4 | 85.7 |
| Barrel% | 33% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 67% | 30% |
| xwOBA | .493 | .320 |
| xSLG | .636 | .492 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 16% |
| Chase% | 0% | 25% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
96.4 avg EV · 33.3% barrel · 67% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Quantrill—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
83°
Wind
7 286°
Rain
21%
HR Adj
+7%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:51 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game