Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
BREWER HICKLEN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BREWER
HICKLEN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Nick Martinez · RHP
87.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
44
VS
ERA
3.75
WHIP
1.05
K%
14%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 75.8 | 87.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 35% |
| xwOBA | .771 | .301 |
| xSLG | .897 | .415 |
| Whiff% | 43% | 17% |
| Chase% | 15% | 31% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
75.8 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Martinez—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
+2%
2B
-4%
3B
0%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
81°
Wind
3 157°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 11:59 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game