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MLB / Research
Mongoose Bets
BRICE MATTHEWS
Over 1+ HR@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
Brice Matthews
BRICE
MATTHEWS
Over 1+ HR
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Exit Velo63.3Barrel%0%Hard Hit%0%xwOBA.185Sweet Spot%0%Whiff%50%Chase%50%
Matchup
VS Logan Gilbert · RHP
90.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
5
Terrible
VS
ERA
4.34
WHIP
1.22
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
 Last 10Allows
Exit Velo63.385.3
Barrel%0%13%
Hard Hit%0%37%
xwOBA.185.353
xSLG.221.519
Whiff%50%31%
Chase%50%34%
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
63.3 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10:  AVG  ·  0 HR  ·  0 RBI  ·  OPS
HR 0.5
Season
Home
Last 10
vs Gilbert
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
-12%
2B
-15%
3B
-35%
K
+18%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:04 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game