Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
BROCK RODDEN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BROCK
RODDEN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Hayden Wesneski · RHP
87.9 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
21
VS
ERA
3.86
WHIP
1.18
K%
16%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.6 | 88.2 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 33% | 39% |
| xwOBA | .171 | .387 |
| xSLG | .054 | .558 |
| Whiff% | 38% | 24% |
| Chase% | 50% | 35% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.6 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 33% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Wesneski—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
92°
Wind
12 156°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+2%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 1:47 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game