Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MLB / Research
Brock Stewart
Los Angeles Dodgers · San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.24 · WHIP 1.56 · K 18% · 10 starts

BROCK STEWART
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line

BROCK
STEWART
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam40%96 mph
Sweeper27%84 mph
Matchup
VS SD LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
39
VS
ERA
3.24
WHIP
1.56
K%
18%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 22% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 11.3% | 11% |
| Chase% | 36% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .365 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 8% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 33% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
0.8
K/GM
0.8
IP/GM
2.25
ERA
1.00
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
18% season K rate
Contact Suppression
8% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 2.25 ERA · 29% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs SD—
Tonight's Park
HR
+23%
Hits
-3%
2B
-5%
3B
-39%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
76°
Wind
2 187°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+3%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 10:02 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.