Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
BRYAN DE LA CRUZ
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
BRYAN DE LA
CRUZ
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
41
Grade D
Matchup
VS Hunter Brown · RHP
92.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
32
VS
ERA
3.28
WHIP
1.27
K%
24%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 91.2 | 84.6 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 7% |
| Hard Hit% | 43% | 36% |
| xwOBA | .254 | .324 |
| xSLG | .323 | .459 |
| Whiff% | 18% | 20% |
| Chase% | 34% | 26% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
91.2 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 43% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Brown—
Tonight's Park
HR
+12%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
+1%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
12 195°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+20%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:05 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game