Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Bryan Hudson
Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 6.59 · WHIP 1.32 · K 19% · 15 starts
BRYAN HUDSON
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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BRYAN
HUDSON
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam67%92 mph
Sweeper31%80 mph
Matchup
VS CHC LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
6.59
WHIP
1.32
K%
19%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 23% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.0% | 11% |
| Chase% | 27% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .291 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 3% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 36% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
0.6
K/GM
1.1
IP/GM
3.38
ERA
0.75
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
19% season K rate
Contact Suppression
3% barrel · 36% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-suppressing park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 12 starts
0 of 12 starts over
Last 5: 3.38 ERA · 15% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CHC—
Tonight's Park
HR
-8%
Hits
-3%
2B
-15%
3B
+16%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
8 47°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-14%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:02 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.