BRYAN KING

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

BRYAN

KING

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam45%93 mph

Sweeper30%82 mph

Sinker24%92 mph

Matchup

VS SF LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

41

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

10.45

WHIP

2.03

K%

19%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	19%	25%
SwStr%	9.3%	11%
Chase%	24%	28%
xwOBA-a	.383	.315
Barrel%-a	13%	8%
HardHit%-a	43%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.0

K/GM

0.9

IP/GM

8.31

ERA

1.85

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

19% season K rate

Contact Suppression

13% barrel · 43% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 8.31 ERA · 22% K

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs SF—

Tonight's Park

HR

-20%

Hits

+1%

2B

+3%

3B

+33%

K

-3%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

79°

Wind

12 261°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+13%

K Adj

-2%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 11:43 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.