Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Bryce Harper
Philadelphia Phillies · San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies
MG Score
61
C+
Tonight's Matchup
vs Randy Vásquez · RHP
ERA
3.23
WHIP
1.14
K%
12%
Velo
91.3
Whiff%
12%
xwOBA-a
.606
Career vs Randy Vásquez: 6 PA · Low sample
AB
5
AVG
.600
OPS
2.067
HR
1
H
3
K
1
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
91.2
Barrel%
19.4%
Hard Hit%
46%
Sweet Spot%
43%
xwOBA
0.530
xSLG
0.819
Recent Games
Last 5
40%
2/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
45%
9/20 games
Last 30
43%
10/23 games
AVG
.200
OBP
.351
SLG
.333
OPS
.685
HR
1
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5/27 | San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/26 | San Diego Padres | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/25 | San Diego Padres | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/24 | Cleveland Guardians | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5/22 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/20 | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Bryce Harper
Philadelphia Phillies · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.2 mph
Avg LA
14.4°
Hard-hit %
45%
Barrel %
21%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
10Triple
1Double
6Single
22Out
61Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.