BRYCE MILLER

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

BRYCE

MILLER

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam37%96 mph

Splitter31%85 mph

Slider8%87 mph

Sweeper8%83 mph

Sinker6%95 mph

Knuckle-Curve6%83 mph

Matchup

VS SF LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

74

Great

projected lineup

VS

ERA

2.18

WHIP

0.83

K%

30%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	28%	25%
SwStr%	15.9%	11%
Chase%	39%	28%
xwOBA-a	.310	.315
Barrel%-a	7%	8%
HardHit%-a	30%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

7.2

K/GM

6.1

IP/GM

2.93

ERA

0.88

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

30% season K rate

Contact Suppression

7% barrel · 30% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 2.93 ERA · 31% K

3

7

4

6

9

7

7

11

8

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs SF—

Tonight's Park

HR

-11%

Hits

-12%

2B

-15%

3B

-35%

K

+18%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 12:53 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.