Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Bryce Miller
Seattle Mariners · Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 5.64 · WHIP 1.31 · K 22% · 11 starts
BRYCE MILLER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
BRYCE
MILLER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam34%96 mph
Splitter29%84 mph
Sinker11%95 mph
Sweeper8%83 mph
Cutter8%91 mph
Knuckle-Curve6%83 mph
Matchup
VS CHC LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
5.64
WHIP
1.31
K%
22%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 17% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 8.9% | 11% |
| Chase% | 37% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .350 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 11% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 39% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.2
K/GM
5.1
IP/GM
7.82
ERA
1.54
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
22% season K rate
Contact Suppression
11% barrel · 39% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 7.82 ERA · 19% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs CHC—
Tonight's Park
HR
-11%
Hits
-12%
2B
-15%
3B
-35%
K
+18%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 5:39 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.