Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Brycen Mautz
St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers · Pitcher
ERA 9.00 · WHIP 2.00 · K 34% · 2 starts
BRYCEN MAUTZ
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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BRYCEN
MAUTZ
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Pitch-mix data not available.
Matchup
VS LAD LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
1
projected lineup
VS
ERA
9.00
WHIP
2.00
K%
34%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 36% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 16.4% | 11% |
| Chase% | 37% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .735 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 17% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 50% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.0
K/GM
3.0
IP/GM
9.00
ERA
2.00
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
34% season K rate
Contact Suppression
17% barrel · 50% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 2 starts
0 of 2 starts over
Last 5: 9.00 ERA · 34% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs LAD—
Tonight's Park
HR
+23%
Hits
-3%
2B
-5%
3B
-39%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
71°
Wind
7 230°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 12:04 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.