Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Bryse Wilson
Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies · Pitcher
ERA 3.05 · WHIP 1.31 · K 21% · 10 starts
BRYSE WILSON
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
BRYSE
WILSON
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Cutter39%88 mph
Sinker31%92 mph
Matchup
VS PHI LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
79
projected lineup
VS
ERA
3.05
WHIP
1.31
K%
21%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 21% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 10.9% | 11% |
| Chase% | 32% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .251 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 0% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 50% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.0
K/GM
1.7
IP/GM
0.00
ERA
0.81
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
21% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 50% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 0.00 ERA · 31% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs PHI—
Tonight's Park
HR
+12%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
+1%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
65°
Wind
10 46°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-11%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 9:12 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.