CADE GIBSON

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

CADE

GIBSON

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Curveball29%80 mph

Sinker24%92 mph

Sweeper22%80 mph

Slider13%87 mph

Matchup

VS PHI LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

37

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

7.27

WHIP

2.08

K%

14%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	17%	25%
SwStr%	6.9%	11%
Chase%	30%	28%
xwOBA-a	.311	.315
Barrel%-a	3%	8%
HardHit%-a	48%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

0.6

K/GM

1.1

IP/GM

5.06

ERA

1.69

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

14% season K rate

Contact Suppression

3% barrel · 48% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 5.06 ERA · 12% K

1

1

1

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs PHI—

Tonight's Park

HR

+12%

Hits

-1%

2B

-4%

3B

+1%

K

+2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

77°

Wind

8 293°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+5%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 10:14 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.