Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Cal Quantrill
Texas Rangers · Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 1.75 · WHIP 0.80 · K 22% · 10 starts
CAL QUANTRILL
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
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Win
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ER
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H
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CAL
QUANTRILL
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam31%94 mph
Sinker25%94 mph
Splitter24%84 mph
Cutter9%89 mph
Slider7%85 mph
Matchup
VS TOR LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
1.75
WHIP
0.80
K%
22%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 19% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 9.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 32% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .357 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 14% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 44% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
4.2
K/GM
5.3
IP/GM
2.73
ERA
0.72
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
22% season K rate
Contact Suppression
14% barrel · 44% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 2.73 ERA · 22% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs TOR—
Tonight's Park
HR
+15%
Hits
-1%
2B
-4%
3B
-21%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 1:14 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.