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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians · in lineup

MG Score
36
F

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
81.0
Barrel%
3.8%
Hard Hit%
23%
Sweet Spot%
25%
xwOBA
0.284
xSLG
0.355

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
40%
4/10 games
Last 20
40%
8/20 games
Last 30
41%
9/22 games
AVG
.240
OBP
.240
SLG
.360
OPS
.600
HR
0
RBI
6
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
5/30Cleveland Guardians4202000
5/29Cleveland Guardians4101020
5/28Atlanta Braves4201000
5/24Minnesota Twins2000000
5/23Minnesota Twins0000000
5/22Minnesota Twins2001000
5/20Kansas City Royals1000000
5/19Kansas City Royals3101010
5/16Atlanta Braves3000000
5/15Atlanta Braves2000010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Caleb Durbin
Boston Red Sox · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
83.7 mph
Avg LA
7.3°
Hard-hit %
29%
Barrel %
6%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
1
Triple
1
Double
8
Single
13
Out
77
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.