Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
CAM CAULEY
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CAM
CAULEY
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Joey Cantillo · LHP
84.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
19
VS
ERA
4.50
WHIP
1.25
K%
29%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 73.1 | 86.0 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 15% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 32% |
| xwOBA | .157 | .402 |
| xSLG | .183 | .604 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 32% |
| Chase% | 17% | 32% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
73.1 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Cantillo—
Tonight's Park
HR
-17%
Hits
-2%
2B
+14%
3B
-25%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
88°
Wind
10 273°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+11%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 10:07 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game