Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cam Smith
Houston Astros · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros
MG Score
66
B-
Tonight's Matchup
80
Matchup
Strong matchup
vs Bubba Chandler · RHP · 94.8 mph avg
50 = avg vs tonight's starters
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.57
K%
24%
Statcast matchup
Batter
Pitcher
Exit Velo
87.7
90.3
Barrel%
18.0%
17.6%
Hard Hit%
41%
41%
xwOBA
.433
.432
xSLG
.675
.641
Whiff%
27%
18%
Chase%
26%
36%
Pitcher column = the rate this starter allows. Green = good for that player, red = poor (vs MLB average).
First career meeting vs Bubba Chandler.
Tonight's Projection
Statcast · last 30d
Exit Velo
87.7
Barrel%
18.0%
Hard Hit%
41%
Sweet Spot%
38%
xwOBA
0.433
xSLG
0.675
Recent Games
Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
80%
8/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
50%
13/26 games
AVG
.270
OBP
.325
SLG
.486
OPS
.811
HR
2
RBI
4
| Date | vs | AB | H | HR | RBI | BB | K | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/31 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/30 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/29 | Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/28 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/27 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 5/26 | Texas Rangers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/25 | Texas Rangers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5/24 | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/23 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5/22 | Chicago Cubs | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Spray Chart
Spray Rain
Spray Read
Cam Smith
Houston Astros · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
88.1 mph
Avg LA
12.6°
Hard-hit %
42%
Barrel %
17%
Outcomes (100 balls)
Home Run
4Triple
0Double
6Single
21Out
69Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.