Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
CARLOS JORGE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CARLOS
JORGE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Dustin May · RHP
92.2 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
17
VS
ERA
4.47
WHIP
1.42
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 84.2 | 88.8 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 15% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 36% |
| xwOBA | .008 | .394 |
| xSLG | .009 | .534 |
| Whiff% | 50% | 19% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
84.2 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Big HR park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs May—
Tonight's Park
HR
+27%
Hits
0%
2B
-1%
3B
-24%
K
+2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
77°
Wind
8 5°
Rain
37%
HR Adj
-12%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 9:08 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game