Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
CARSON BENGE
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CARSON
BENGE
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
48
Grade D
Matchup
VS Ian Seymour · LHP
86.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
64
VS
ERA
4.41
WHIP
1.22
K%
31%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 87.5 | 86.2 |
| Barrel% | 9% | 17% |
| Hard Hit% | 36% | 35% |
| xwOBA | .391 | .445 |
| xSLG | .568 | .674 |
| Whiff% | 19% | 25% |
| Chase% | 31% | 39% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
87.5 avg EV · 9.0% barrel · 36% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Seymour—
Tonight's Park
HR
-3%
Hits
-3%
2B
-11%
3B
+31%
K
+3%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 4:59 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game