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Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Carson Kelly

Chicago Cubs · Athletics vs Chicago Cubs

MG Score
38
F

Tonight's Matchup

vs Gage Jump
ERA
7.20
WHIP
2.00
K%
20%
Velo
91.5
Whiff%
24%
xwOBA-a
.352
First career meeting vs Gage Jump.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
86.3
Barrel%
6.0%
Hard Hit%
26%
Sweet Spot%
34%
xwOBA
0.286
xSLG
0.382

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Carson Kelly
Chicago Cubs · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.3 mph
Avg LA
13.7°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
10%
Outcomes (91 balls)
Home Run
2
Triple
0
Double
6
Single
25
Out
58
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.