Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Carson Whisenhunt
San Francisco Giants · Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants · Pitcher
ERA 3.60 · WHIP 1.60 · K 9% · 1 starts
CARSON WHISENHUNT
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
CARSON
WHISENHUNT
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam40%93 mph
Changeup39%83 mph
Matchup
VS COL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
87
projected lineup
VS
ERA
3.60
WHIP
1.60
K%
9%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 16% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 7.1% | 11% |
| Chase% | 30% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .322 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 0% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 37% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.0
K/GM
5.0
IP/GM
3.60
ERA
1.60
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
9% season K rate
Contact Suppression
0% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Pitcher's park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 1 starts
0 of 1 starts over
Last 5: 3.60 ERA · 9% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs COL—
Tonight's Park
HR
-20%
Hits
+1%
2B
+3%
3B
+33%
K
-3%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
61°
Wind
12 247°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+9%
K Adj
-1%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 4:54 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.