Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 11:17 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Carter Jensen

Kansas City Royals · Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds

MG Score
34
F

Tonight's Matchup

vs Andrew Abbott · LHP
ERA
1.48
WHIP
1.05
K%
16%
Velo
88.2
Whiff%
19%
xwOBA-a
.516
First career meeting vs Andrew Abbott.

Tonight's Projection

Statcast · last 30d

Exit Velo
87.7
Barrel%
5.5%
Hard Hit%
35%
Sweet Spot%
22%
xwOBA
0.244
xSLG
0.333

Recent Games

Last 5
60%
3/5 games
Last 10
50%
5/10 games
Last 20
55%
11/20 games
Last 30
52%
13/25 games
AVG
.171
OBP
.216
SLG
.314
OPS
.531
HR
1
RBI
7
DatevsABHHRRBIBBKSB
6/1Cincinnati Reds4000110
5/31Texas Rangers4100020
5/30Texas Rangers5213000
5/27New York Yankees3000010
5/26New York Yankees4100000
5/25New York Yankees4000010
5/24Seattle Mariners4102010
5/23Seattle Mariners2102100
5/22Seattle Mariners4000020
5/20Boston Red Sox1000010

Spray Chart

Spray Rain
200 ft300 ft400 ftLFCFRF
Spray Read
Carter Jensen
Kansas City Royals · bats RHB
vs Pitcher Hand
Window
Avg EV
90.1 mph
Avg LA
19.1°
Hard-hit %
43%
Barrel %
13%
Outcomes (98 balls)
Home Run
6
Triple
0
Double
6
Single
22
Out
64
Each dot is a real batted ball this player hit, pulled from Statcast tracking.

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast + spray refreshed daily.