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Odds updated 11:31 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Casey Legumina

Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels · Pitcher

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CASEY LEGUMINA
Over K@ —
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Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
Casey Legumina
CASEY
LEGUMINA
Over K
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam41%93 mph
Slider20%85 mph
Sinker16%93 mph
Matchup
VS LAA LINEUP
LIMITED DATA — ROOKIE/CALL-UP
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
50
Average
projected lineup
VS
ERA
WHIP
K%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
 PitcherMLB Avg
Whiff%24%25%
SwStr%13.2%11%
Chase%35%28%
xwOBA-a.334.315
Barrel%-a12%8%
HardHit%-a30%39%
Recent Form · Last 5
K/GM
IP/GM
ERA
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
Strikeout data pending
Contact Suppression
12% barrel · 30% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
Model Prob
Fair Odds
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 0 starts
No recent starts
Season
Home
Last 5
vs LAA
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
68°
Wind
11 242°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+17%
K Adj
-2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 11:31 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.