CASEY MIZE

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

CASEY

MIZE

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam35%94 mph

Slider31%88 mph

Splitter21%88 mph

Sinker9%94 mph

Matchup

VS OAK LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

VS

ERA

2.59

WHIP

0.88

K%

23%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	20%	25%
SwStr%	10.6%	11%
Chase%	30%	28%
xwOBA-a	.354	.315
Barrel%-a	8%	8%
HardHit%-a	39%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

5.4

K/GM

5.7

IP/GM

2.20

ERA

0.84

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

23% season K rate

Contact Suppression

8% barrel · 39% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

HR-friendly park · air boosting HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 2.20 ERA · 25% K

4

4

6

3

6

10

4

5

5

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs OAK—

Tonight's Park

HR

+4%

Hits

+3%

2B

+5%

3B

0%

K

-2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

96°

Wind

11 193°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

+25%

K Adj

-6%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 6:39 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.