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MLB / Research
Casey Mize
San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 5.13 · WHIP 1.37 · K 15% · 11 starts
CASEY MIZE
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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CASEY
MIZE
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam36%93 mph
Slider32%87 mph
Splitter23%88 mph
Sinker6%93 mph
Matchup
VS COL LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
44
VS
ERA
5.13
WHIP
1.37
K%
15%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 17% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 8.1% | 11% |
| Chase% | 29% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .326 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 17% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 45% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
2.4
K/GM
4.5
IP/GM
6.04
ERA
1.48
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
15% season K rate
Contact Suppression
17% barrel · 45% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 6.04 ERA · 12% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs COL—
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+16%
2B
+17%
3B
+103%
K
-8%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
73°
Wind
18 186°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+23%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 8:01 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.