Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
CHARLES MCADOO
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CHARLES
MCADOO
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Patrick Sandoval · LHP
89.0 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
78
VS
ERA
3.24
WHIP
1.60
K%
23%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 93.2 | 85.9 |
| Barrel% | 50% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 50% | 33% |
| xwOBA | .524 | .381 |
| xSLG | .997 | .541 |
| Whiff% | 14% | 24% |
| Chase% | 44% | 28% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
93.2 avg EV · 50.0% barrel · 50% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Sandoval—
Tonight's Park
HR
0%
Hits
-2%
2B
+9%
3B
-31%
K
-1%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
72°
Wind
0
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:27 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game