CHRIS BASSITT

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

CHRIS

BASSITT

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

Sinker34%92 mph

Matchup

VS NYY LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

36

Bad

projected lineup

VS

ERA

4.26

WHIP

1.46

K%

16%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	5%	25%
SwStr%	2.3%	11%
Chase%	27%	28%
xwOBA-a	.348	.315
Barrel%-a	11%	8%
HardHit%-a	44%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

2.8

K/GM

4.7

IP/GM

4.94

ERA

1.44

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

16% season K rate

Contact Suppression

11% barrel · 44% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Neutral park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 4.94 ERA · 13% K

2

3

7

3

6

4

4

2

1

3

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs NYY—

Tonight's Park

HR

-2%

Hits

+3%

2B

-5%

3B

+32%

K

-2%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

80°

Wind

2 168°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 9:50 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.