CHRIS MURPHY

K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

CHRIS

MURPHY

K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam36%96 mph

Slider28%89 mph

Curveball26%78 mph

Matchup

VS CLE LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

84

Fantastic

projected lineup

VS

ERA

2.61

WHIP

0.97

K%

31%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	44%	25%
SwStr%	19.5%	11%
Chase%	28%	28%
xwOBA-a	.367	.315
Barrel%-a	0%	8%
HardHit%-a	33%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.4

K/GM

1.1

IP/GM

1.69

ERA

0.94

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

31% season K rate

Contact Suppression

0% barrel · 33% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Pitcher's park · air suppressing HR

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 10 starts

0 of 10 starts over

Last 5: 1.69 ERA · 33% K

1

1

2

2

2

1

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs CLE—

Tonight's Park

HR

-17%

Hits

-2%

2B

+14%

3B

-25%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

76°

Wind

8 176°

Rain

0%

HR Adj

-5%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 5:07 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.