Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
CHRISTIAN ENCARNACION-STRAND
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CHRISTIAN
ENCARNACION-STRAND
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
56
Grade C
Matchup
VS Sonny Gray · RHP
87.3 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
69
VS
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.27
K%
21%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.6 | 88.9 |
| Barrel% | 22% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 40% | 39% |
| xwOBA | .441 | .356 |
| xSLG | .689 | .503 |
| Whiff% | 24% | 21% |
| Chase% | 45% | 33% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.6 avg EV · 22.2% barrel · 40% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather neutral
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Gray—
Tonight's Park
HR
-2%
Hits
+3%
2B
-5%
3B
+32%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
73°
Wind
3 44°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
0%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 8:06 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game