Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
MLB / Research
CHRISTIAN FRANKLIN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CHRISTIAN
FRANKLIN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
47
Grade D
Matchup
VS Robert Gasser · LHP
89.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
49
VS
ERA
3.38
WHIP
1.31
K%
22%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 83.8 | 85.5 |
| Barrel% | 14% | 9% |
| Hard Hit% | 43% | 31% |
| xwOBA | .375 | .350 |
| xSLG | .604 | .474 |
| Whiff% | 35% | 20% |
| Chase% | 20% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
83.8 avg EV · 14.3% barrel · 43% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Gasser—
Tonight's Park
HR
-2%
Hits
+3%
2B
-5%
3B
+32%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
79°
Wind
7 89°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-18%
K Adj
+2%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 1:07 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game