Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
CHRISTIAN FRANKLIN
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CHRISTIAN
FRANKLIN
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
50
Grade —
Matchup
VS Reid Detmers · LHP
87.6 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
34
VS
ERA
3.32
WHIP
1.00
K%
28%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 90.1 | 92.3 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 18% |
| Hard Hit% | 0% | 45% |
| xwOBA | .097 | .483 |
| xSLG | .118 | .761 |
| Whiff% | 0% | 26% |
| Chase% | 0% | 34% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
90.1 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 0% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Detmers—
Tonight's Park
HR
-2%
Hits
+3%
2B
-5%
3B
+32%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
4 175°
Rain
100%
HR Adj
-2%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 5:53 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game