Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
CHRISTIAN KOSS
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CHRISTIAN
KOSS
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
42
Grade D
Matchup
VS Zac Thornton · LHP
87.1 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
40
VS
ERA
2.77
WHIP
1.15
K%
18%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 81.2 | 86.6 |
| Barrel% | 9% | 11% |
| Hard Hit% | 34% | 36% |
| xwOBA | .342 | .376 |
| xSLG | .462 | .555 |
| Whiff% | 26% | 16% |
| Chase% | 39% | 34% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
81.2 avg EV · 9.2% barrel · 34% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Thornton—
Tonight's Park
HR
+3%
Hits
-9%
2B
-11%
3B
-25%
K
+4%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
78°
Wind
10 358°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+10%
K Adj
0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 3:12 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game