Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
CHRISTIAN WALKER
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
CHRISTIAN
WALKER
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
49
Grade D
Matchup
VS Sean Burke · RHP
89.5 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
51
VS
ERA
2.72
WHIP
1.05
K%
29%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.8 | 90.7 |
| Barrel% | 11% | 14% |
| Hard Hit% | 39% | 45% |
| xwOBA | .346 | .373 |
| xSLG | .504 | .546 |
| Whiff% | 25% | 22% |
| Chase% | 30% | 30% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.8 avg EV · 11.3% barrel · 39% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Burke1
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
84°
Wind
4 301°
Rain
66%
HR Adj
+9%
K Adj
-7%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 7:22 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game