Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
COLT KEITH
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
COLT
KEITH
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
61
Grade C+
Matchup
VS Taj Bradley · RHP
93.4 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
77
VS
ERA
4.14
WHIP
1.26
K%
27%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 91.0 | 89.7 |
| Barrel% | 14% | 14% |
| Hard Hit% | 49% | 44% |
| xwOBA | .429 | .358 |
| xSLG | .584 | .521 |
| Whiff% | 21% | 22% |
| Chase% | 24% | 27% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
91.0 avg EV · 14.3% barrel · 49% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Bradley0
Tonight's Park
HR
+7%
Hits
+1%
2B
+10%
3B
+10%
K
+7%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
3 110°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+1%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 2:05 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game