Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
COLTON COWSER
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
COLTON
COWSER
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
48
Grade D
Matchup
VS Andrew Painter · RHP
89.8 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
31
VS
ERA
8.12
WHIP
1.76
K%
17%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 88.7 | 84.3 |
| Barrel% | 0% | 8% |
| Hard Hit% | 45% | 30% |
| xwOBA | .311 | .344 |
| xSLG | .431 | .499 |
| Whiff% | 31% | 20% |
| Chase% | 30% | 26% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
88.7 avg EV · 0.0% barrel · 45% hard-hit
Park / Weather
Neutral park · weather suppressing HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Painter—
Tonight's Park
HR
-2%
Hits
+3%
2B
-5%
3B
+32%
K
-2%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
85°
Wind
5 132°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
-8%
K Adj
-0%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 6:43 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game