Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
COREY SEAGER
Over 1+ HR—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
HR 1+
no line
Hits 1+
no line
2B 1+
no line
RBI 1+
no line
TB 2+
no line
COREY
SEAGER
Over 1+ HR—
Statcast Score
58
Grade C
Matchup
VS Peter Lambert · RHP
88.9 MPH AVG FASTBALL
MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE
MATCHUP SCORE
68
VS
ERA
2.50
WHIP
1.09
K%
24%
Statcast Matchup
| Last 10 | Allows | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit Velo | 99.9 | 87.2 |
| Barrel% | 25% | 13% |
| Hard Hit% | 75% | 44% |
| xwOBA | .503 | .331 |
| xSLG | .808 | .459 |
| Whiff% | 21% | 24% |
| Chase% | 36% | 38% |
Hot Streak
No recent logs
Elite Contact
99.9 avg EV · 25.0% barrel · 75% hard-hit
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · weather boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · HR last 0 games
No recent games
Last 10: — AVG · 0 HR · 0 RBI · — OPS
HR 0.5
Season—
Home—
Last 10—
vs Lambert1
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the hitter (K inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
92°
Wind
7 344°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+24%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the hitter
odds as of 12:47 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game