CRISTIAN JAVIER

Over K—@ —

POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS

Prop Board

K

no line

Win

no line

ER

no line

H

no line

CRISTIAN

JAVIER

Over K—

Pitch Arsenal · 30d

4-Seam57%94 mph

Matchup

VS TEX LINEUP

SEASON RATES BELOW

MONGOOSE
MATCHUP SCORE

13

Terrible

projected lineup

VS

ERA

10.22

WHIP

2.27

K%

13%

Statcast · vs MLB Avg

	Pitcher	MLB Avg
Whiff%	30%	25%
SwStr%	14.5%	11%
Chase%	32%	28%
xwOBA-a	.418	.315
Barrel%-a	13%	8%
HardHit%-a	50%	39%

Recent Form · Last 5

1.6

K/GM

2.5

IP/GM

10.22

ERA

2.27

WHIP

Strikeout Upside

13% season K rate

Contact Suppression

13% barrel · 50% hard-hit allowed

Park / Weather

Big HR park

Mongoose Model Projection

—

Model Prob

—

Fair Odds

—

EDGE —

Recent Form · K last 5 starts

0 of 5 starts over

Last 5: 10.22 ERA · 13% K

1

2

1

4

Season—

Home—

Last 5—

vs TEX—

Tonight's Park

HR

+15%

Hits

-1%

2B

-4%

3B

-21%

K

0%

vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)

Tonight's Weather + Adjustment

Temp

72°

Wind

0

Rain

0%

HR Adj

0%

K Adj

0%

weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher

odds as of 8:56 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game

Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.