Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Cristian Javier
Houston Astros · Athletics vs Houston Astros · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 4.34 · WHIP 1.45 · K 23% · 10 starts

CRISTIAN JAVIER
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
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CRISTIAN
JAVIER
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
4-Seam47%93 mph
Sweeper23%82 mph
Changeup17%87 mph
Cutter12%89 mph
Matchup
VS OAK LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
4.34
WHIP
1.45
K%
23%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 23% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 12.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 37% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .393 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 11% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 35% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
3.6
K/GM
4.2
IP/GM
3.86
ERA
1.19
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
23% season K rate
Contact Suppression
11% barrel · 35% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
HR-friendly park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 10 starts
0 of 10 starts over
Last 5: 3.86 ERA · 21% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs OAK—
Tonight's Park
HR
+4%
Hits
0%
2B
-4%
3B
-14%
K
0%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
95°
Wind
2 315°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+16%
K Adj
-6%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 10:33 AM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
