Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics
Cristopher Sánchez
Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.17 · WHIP 1.33 · K 27% · 11 starts

CRISTOPHER SÁNCHEZ
K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
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ER
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H
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CRISTOPHER
SÁNCHEZ
K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker47%95 mph
Changeup34%87 mph
Slider19%86 mph
Matchup
VS LAA LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.17
WHIP
1.33
K%
27%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 32% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 14.6% | 11% |
| Chase% | 29% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .361 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 8% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 37% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
6.8
K/GM
6.1
IP/GM
2.05
ERA
1.14
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
27% season K rate
Contact Suppression
8% barrel · 37% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Big HR park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 2.05 ERA · 28% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs LAA—
Tonight's Park
HR
+13%
Hits
-2%
2B
-13%
3B
-3%
K
+5%
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
11 214°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+23%
K Adj
-3%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 7:11 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.
