Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Cristopher Sánchez
National League All-Stars · American League All-Stars vs National League All-Stars · confirmed starter · Pitcher
ERA 3.80 · WHIP 1.23 · K 25% · 11 starts
CRISTOPHER SÁNCHEZ
Over K—@ —
POWERED BYMONGOOSE MODELS
Prop Board
K
no line
Win
no line
ER
no line
H
no line
CRISTOPHER
SÁNCHEZ
Over K—
Pitch Arsenal · 30d
Sinker41%95 mph
Changeup40%87 mph
Slider19%87 mph
Matchup
VS AME LINEUP
SEASON RATES BELOW
VS
ERA
3.80
WHIP
1.23
K%
25%
Statcast · vs MLB Avg
| Pitcher | MLB Avg | |
|---|---|---|
| Whiff% | 27% | 25% |
| SwStr% | 14.5% | 11% |
| Chase% | 39% | 28% |
| xwOBA-a | .379 | .315 |
| Barrel%-a | 11% | 8% |
| HardHit%-a | 45% | 39% |
Recent Form · Last 5
5.0
K/GM
4.7
IP/GM
7.33
ERA
1.80
WHIP
Strikeout Upside
25% season K rate
Contact Suppression
11% barrel · 45% hard-hit allowed
Park / Weather
Neutral park · air boosting HR
Mongoose Model Projection
—
Model Prob
—
Fair Odds
—
EDGE —
Recent Form · K last 11 starts
0 of 11 starts over
Last 5: 7.33 ERA · 23% K
Season—
Home—
Last 5—
vs AME—
Tonight's Park
HR
—
Hits
—
2B
—
3B
—
K
—
vs league average · green helps the pitcher (K not inverted)
Tonight's Weather + Adjustment
Temp
87°
Wind
9 232°
Rain
0%
HR Adj
+20%
K Adj
-4%
weather impact on projections · green helps the pitcher
odds as of 12:32 PM ET · projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game
Projections from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Statcast & pitch mix refreshed daily; season rates from game logs.